I know jim will call me a mean name, but here's my top 10.

Armstrong
Ullrich 4'30"
Beloki 6'30"
Simoni 7'
Gonzalez
Mayo
Leipheimer
Heras
Mancebo
Moreau

Before Savoldelli was questionable to start, I had him 5th.

The reason for the "small" time gap for Armstrong is that I think his water bottle-skiing experiment will prevent him from being at 100% form.

I think Millar, Mercado, and Botero are in the "I want a stage win rather than a top 10 finish" club. Ullrich and Mayo are blowing smoke.

onerad, why Chavanel?